The October Thing #2 – August 27, 2011

Singularities and Discontinuities

Generally a singularity is regarded as a good thing and a discontinuity as a bad thing but it depends on how you look at it. I’m going to call them all discontinuities, events that bring about sudden changes that don’t fit the trend lines, like the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. The Wall Fall not only united Germany, but precipitated the breakup of the Soviet Union which allowed the U.S.S.R.’s Islamic republics not only to break away from Russia but also to make common cause with other Islamic states. It also showed that a superpower could crack. Much of the history of the last 20 years is determined by this one event. Saddam Hussein, knowing how fragile the U.S.S.R. was, immediately invaded Kuwait, thinking that the U.S. was fragile also. The last 20 years of Mid-East wars are beginning to demonstrate that fragility and it’s launching what looks like a new discontinuity, Arab Spring. Since the first time since the Arabs were driven out of Europe in the 15th century, the idea of a Caliphate—a worldwide Nation of Islam—is rising. They have the most powerful form of wealth available today—oil—but not much else. They are a threat to Hindu-Buddhist India, Confucian-Communist China, and the secular-Capitalistic NATO countries. In some ways, the world-power-blocs are more balanced than ever. The question is: What discontinuity will shatter this balance? Comments?

3 thoughts on “The October Thing #2 – August 27, 2011”

  1. On August 27, 2011 at 8:28 p.m. CDT, Diane Weiner posted this comment:

    War against Israel will shatter. Then each nation must pick a side. “If I am not for myself, who will be for me?”

  2. On August 28, 2011 at 8:28 p.m. CDT, Ed Passerini responded to Diane:

    Israel can destroy tehran, baghdad, damascus, beirut, riyadh, esfahan, abadan, and cairo immediately with 8 of its 100+ nuclear bombs and everybody knows it. Nobody is going to seriously screw with Israel. “If I am only for myself, then what am I?” same guy, Rabbi Hillel.

  3. If as you say there is a balance, then the discontinuity that may upset that balance could be the collapse of the global economy. As energy costs pull more money out of everyone’s pocket, the consistent economic growth that we have taken for granted during the last five generations will become a distant memory. One of the little-known and little-understood secrets about our global economy is that it CANNOT survive without economic growth; in a steady-state or declining economy, banks must fail.

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